Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.089973 0.141649 0.203273 0.279545 0.369165 0.469256 0.587770
2026-01-11 0.037631 0.098609 0.187470 0.311988 0.471489 0.661028 0.896422
2026-01-18 0.016538 0.075617 0.178284 0.334979 0.546274 0.805910 1.136194
2026-01-25 0.003915 0.052104 0.158950 0.337850 0.591347 0.912380 1.329294
2026-02-01 NaN 0.027464 0.125461 0.311691 0.591655 0.958285 1.444982
2026-02-08 NaN 0.010411 0.092788 0.278020 0.575528 0.978834 1.525921
2026-02-15 NaN 0.003808 0.076735 0.267432 0.589345 1.036414 1.651746
2026-02-22 NaN 0.001444 0.070563 0.273162 0.626574 1.124883 1.816858
2026-03-01 NaN 0.000120 0.061188 0.270054 0.648892 1.192352 1.954531
2026-03-08 NaN NaN 0.047759 0.254339 0.649168 1.228142 2.050152
2026-03-15 NaN NaN 0.051183 0.278096 0.714111 1.354868 2.265684
2026-03-22 NaN NaN 0.054430 0.301489 0.778647 1.481308 2.481248
2026-03-29 NaN NaN 0.052925 0.314149 0.827821 1.589687 2.678118
2026-04-05 NaN NaN 0.059325 0.347820 0.913320 1.751007 2.946946
2026-04-12 NaN NaN 0.062257 0.372408 0.983494 1.890546 3.186943
2026-04-19 NaN NaN 0.057221 0.375392 1.016965 1.977858 3.357871
2026-04-26 NaN NaN 0.042446 0.347677 0.996124 1.986332 3.423133
2026-05-03 NaN NaN 0.027654 0.311890 0.957711 1.967254 3.449887
2026-05-10 NaN NaN 0.021404 0.300614 0.961681 2.009120 3.557922
2026-05-17 NaN NaN 0.019812 0.306719 0.997731 2.098600 3.730824
2026-05-24 NaN NaN 0.016373 0.303408 1.015621 2.160809 3.866510
2026-05-31 NaN NaN 0.010961 0.286653 1.006571 2.181908 3.945518
2026-06-07 NaN NaN 0.013307 0.311971 1.079961 2.328141 4.196982